Northern Monkey Punter

Recent Winners

Some of the recent winners advised on NMP include:

Withhold 25/1

Battaash 7/2

Donjuan Triumphant 10/1

Brorocco 9/1

Great Hall 11/1

Our Lord 9/2

Roundhay Park 3/1

Show Palace 3/1

Laurens 10/3

Brilliant Vanguard 8/1

Sepal 9/2 (-10p R4)

See more past winners.

Latest news

Cesarewitch smash up!
16th October 2017

Brilliant Balding does it again
30th September 2017

Nakeeta gets up late for Ebor ecstasy
29th August 2017

News

The latest news from Northern Monkey Punter.

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  • Cesarewitch smash up!

    Cesarewitch smash up!

    Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 16th October 2017

    Well, well, well, what a wonderful weekend that was!

    It would be fair to say NMP members have been really unlucky with regards to the fate of our multiple selections this year - with Orion's Bow, Home Of The Brave and Jumira Bridge just some of those who have been narrowly touched off to deny us some big paydays. 

    There is only so long bad luck can count against you though and we made up for it in style with Withhold landing a huge ante post gamble in the Cesarewitch last weekend (pictured far left in the blue silks, (c) Ed Whitaker, Racing Post).

    Roger Charlton's charge was backed off the boards after first show, with his price collapsing to 5/1 from 9/1, but NMP members were advised to have a decent ante post wager on him at 25/1 after his eyecatching prep run at Newbury weeks before the big race. 

    Members had also been advised to back him in a 55/1 double with his stablemate, Blakeney Point, who won at 10/3 (SP) at Leicester in the week leading up to the Cesarewitch as the stable had their horses in superb form at the time.

    Members were told Withhold may improve for the step up in trip at Newmarket, as he would likely creep in off a lovely, low racing weight and may have his normal headgear, which had been omitted for his prep run, reapplied at HQ. 

    The booking of Silvestre De Sousa at the final declaration stage was the icing on the cake and the horse absolutely bolted up after tacking over from a wide draw and being given a prominent ride, breaking the track record and winning eased down.

    As Roger Charlton told ITV Racing after the race, "it was a demolition job, really"! 

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  • Brilliant Balding does it again

    Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 30th September 2017

    Andrew Balding did us a good turn last week when his Brorocco kept on stylishly down the outside of the field under David Probert, landing a big Saturday handicap at Newbury. He went on record at 9/1, though some members obtained marginally larger prices in the morning.

    Balding came up trumps the following weekend when Donjuan Triumphant got up in a photo finish to win the rearranged Gold Cup for us at Haydock. 

    The prestigious 6f sprint was originally scheduled to take place at Ayr the previous week and we had backed him as a strong ante post selection at prices up to 16/1. Those bets were voided when the entire Western meeting was abandoned due to a waterlogged track, though we kept the faith, reinvested some of the returned stake and the former Richard Fahey representative dug in well under PJ McDonald to get up in the final strides for a 10/1 winner!

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  • Nakeeta gets up late for Ebor ecstasy

    Nakeeta gets up late for Ebor ecstasy

    Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 29th August 2017

    Nakeeta had been labelled a bridesmaid by some as, although he won the Old Borough Cup at Haydock in 2015, he came up short several times in big handicaps last year - at Chester, Ascot, York and Leopardstown. 

    Often, however, it seemed to me like it was a matter of timing, rather than a bad attitude, which proved his downfall. 

    Members were, therefore, advised to make him their main bet for the Ebor at York last weekend - with him being backable as big as 16/1 first thing on Saturday morning......

    "The Ebor is a tightly knit handicap these days as you needed a mark of 102 to get a run this year and there is only 8lb separating top and bottom weight. With that in mind, having a useful claiming apprentice on board could potentially be a big advantage. 

    Iain Jardine booked 7lb claimer Clifford Lee for Shrewd last year, who finished second to Heartbreak City, and I think it is interesting that he's booked another apprentice - Callum Rodriguez - this year for NAKEETA

    Rodriguez, who boasts a level stakes profit to SP (+19), BSP (+35) and has won 19 % more often than statistical expectations in 180 Flat races this season, has impressed me this season when riding Intense Romance as he was cool-as-a-cucumber that day he won at Newcastle. He also gave Foxy Boy a very good patient ride that day he won at cramped odds at Haydock. 

    I think he's worth his 5lb claim and his ability isn't yet fully being completely factored into his odds. The weight he takes off looks a massive plus for Nakeeta, who was a perennial hard luck story last season. 

    He was beaten by a short head in the Chester Cup and had a number of near misses, such as at this track and also Ascot. 

    Perhaps his most heartbreaking defeat, however, was that day at Leopardstown, in the November handicap when he kicked into the lead but was worn down by Golden Spear in the final strides (Magic Circle, who is 9/1 here after winning here on Wednesday, was back in third as it happens while the fifth, Snow Falcon, has also won in Ireland this week to serve us a reminder of the worth of that particular formline). 

    Jardine said he was being aimed at this race last year but he was rated around 97 at that time and unfortunately missed the cut. This time he has crept in at the bottom of the handicap though and, with his jockey's claim, he's effectively running off a mark of 98 here, which is 1lb lower than the mark off which he was narrowly beaten in the Irish November handicap. 

    I liked his performance here in Listed company off unfavourable terms behind Dal Harraild two runs back, demonstrating (again) his effectiveness at the track, while there was no shame in his last run at Newmarket, when he was keen early on but travelled right into contention before paying for those exertions late on. 

    The return to this flat track looks ideal for him in view of the fact his best performances have come at level tracks like York, Haydock, Chester and Leopardstown - they just seem to suit his style of running better than Newmarket. 

    On his second start since being gelded I also want a small bet on BATTERSEA. He held his own in some tough Meydan handicaps last year and, notably, was fourth in this race off a mark of 107 last season. 

    He's 2lb lower now, and with David Egan, another smart 5lb claimer, easing his mark further, he's effectively 7lb lower this year. We've a dry forecast at York today and drying ground is exactly what Roger Varian's six-year-old wants."

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