Some of the recent winners advised on NMP include:
Harbour Vision 5/1
Mountain Angel 9/2
Just That Lord 13/2
Burrows Saint 15/2
Eden Rose 9/2
Ventura Ocean 8/1
The latest news from Northern Monkey Punter.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 13th May 2019
The 2018/19 football ante posts couldn't have gone much better. All eight advised singles won and five of the seven accas won at odds of 75/1, 35/1, 24/1, 10/1 & 9/1.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 28th April 2019
It is great to have the Flat season back - our bread and butter.
We've been keeping the stakes limited for the first month of the season or so, while the form settles down, but we've had some decent winners already, including Marmelo in the John Porter (9/1), Ventura Ocean (8/1), Just That Lord (13/2), Mountain Angel (9/2) and Gumball (10/3), along with Eden Rose (9/2), Champarisi (3/1) and Harbour Vision (5/1) on the all-weather and Burrows Saint (15/2) in the Irish Grand National.
I will be stepping stakes back up to the full scale (0.25 to 3 pts) in May as we now enter the main months of the Flat season, in which I expect to make the bulk of our profit this year.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 18th March 2019
The 2019 Cheltenham Festival proved another enjoyable one for NMP members as we made a profit of over +11 pts from 38 pts staked on the week.
We suffered some bad luck on the first day with Buveur D'Air and Benie Des Dieux (both backed in separate ante post doubles) falling (the latter, especially, was set to collect when tumbling at the last), though a minor return off Roksana in the Mares' Hurdle softened the blow.
Our big ante post gamble on Tower Bridge (backed at prices up to 20/1 each-way) was foiled by the classy A Plus Tard in the Close Brothers, though we did manage a place return as he finished second after enduring a nightmare passage.
On the Wednesday, Tiger Roll landed the Cross-Country for us but Thursday was the big day. Defi Du Seuil landed a gamble for us in the JLT (backed at 11/1 ante post and went off 3/1) and then Sire Du Berlais landed another gamble in the next race on the card, the Pertemps (14/1 into 4/1) - we had those two backed in a double on the day as well as in singles. Our third winner of the day was Siruh Du Lac in the Brown Advisory Plate (8/1 into 9/2), who jumped his rivals into submission from the front under Lizzie Kelly.
On the Friday our main Gold Cup pick, Presenting Percy, returned lame, though Defi Bleu (14/1, EW) and Dallas Des Pictons (7/2, EW) went close in the finale, the Martin Pipe.
Overall it was a profitable week and one that puts us on the front foot ahead of the new turf season, which begins in the coming weeks and is where I expect us to make the bulk of our profit for the year.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 27th February 2019
SIGN UP OFFER - Full season memberships are currently discounted to £225 for the full season (membership from the day you join until 10th November 2019) until the start of the Cheltenham Festival.
I will be sending out daily e-mails and a preview for every race during the Festival. You will also receive a list of my current ante post bets (including a potential 16/1* gamble in one of the handicaps and a 14/1* shot I think could upset one of the supposed 'banker' novice hurdlers).
Lastly, I will also e-mail all members my detailed notes from the Sky Bet Cheltenham preview evening taking place at Doncaster racecourse on 6th March.
*those prices available at the time of writing on 27th February but the markets are fluid and they are liable to change!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 1st January 2019
It ended up being a little worse than a break-even year on record to lowest advised prices (it is possible to improve upon my P/L by taking higher odds throughout the year as most selections are advised with a range of odds and I don't record the higher odds in the range on record), but here is my review of how the 2018 NMP service went....
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 1st December 2018
Full details of the new 2019 NMP 'weekends and festivals' service can be found at the how to join link!
The 2019 service runs from 1st January to 10th November and will focus on providing bets in the big races televised on ITV at the weekend and during the big summer festivals.
Discounted memberships are available for those signing up for the full year before 1st January 2019.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 31st October 2018
One of the big wins for members in 2017 was Withhold landing the Cesarewitch for Roger Charlton and we struck gold in the same race again this year, this time with Willie Mullins' Low Sun. Members were advised;
"One of my angles with Withhold last year was that he was a Champs Elysees and his progeny improve when granted a stamina test. LOW SUN is by the same sire.
I really liked his 2m win at the Curragh on fast ground in June, when he kept on rolling, and he's progressed since, winning a valuable handicap hurdle at Galway over the summer.
He was held up in the rear in his prep race at Bellewstown last time but he's usually ridden closer to the pace. I would like to see a reversion to prominent tactics on the big day on Saturday."
Advised to members at 12/1 and 10/1, Low Sun dug in bravely under Seamie Heffernan to grind out a victory on the near side rail!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 9th September 2018
One of the highlights of the summer for us this year was Jason Watson winning the Stewards' Cup aboard Gifted Master (advised at 14/1 and returned 20/1 at SP) and the talented 3lb apprentice rider struck again at the weekend on the David Elsworth-trained Ripp Orf, landing the 7f Cunard Handicap at Ascot at advised odds of 10/1.
It was a big result for members, who had been advised to back him in a double with Florencio on the beach at Laytown earlier in the week at 7/4 to 13/8, as as well as in a strong single. Members thus made around 30 pts profit from a 2.25 pt outlay involving Ripp Orf!
The Tin Man is one of my favourite horses in training after he won the Champions Sprint for us in 2016 (along with a huge tricast) and his superb victory in the Sprint Cup at Haydock - winning the race at the third attempt after placing in the two previous renewals - made for an even extra special weekend.
James Fanshawe's six-year-old was advised to members at 8/1 to 15/2 in the week before the race. He was friendless on the morning after the rain arrived from Friday, though he was backed into 7/1 at the off and was given a lovely ride from his new partner in the saddle, Oisin Murphy.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 11th August 2018
The Shergar Cup at Ascot isn't everyone's cup of tea but it is a meeting I personally enjoy, due to the fact we are guaranteed double figure field sizes with the reserves and there are three places paid each-way.
We enjoyed a good meeting this year with Tis Marvellous winning the sprint opener under Hollie Doyle at 6/1 (advised) and Via Serendipity then striking under Hayley Turner for the girls again in the Mile handicap (11/2 advised).
Those two winners alone made for a profitable Saturday, though it could have been even better had Shaheen landed a sprint later on the card; we had backed him in a 0.125 pt win trixie (cost 0.5 pt) with the two aforementioned winners and would have won an additional 40 pts profit on the day had he been successful. He was sent off 3/1 joint-favourite but finished fourth.
We won over 5 pts off the winning double on Tis Marvellous and Via Serendipity in the trixie, though, as well as singles on both of those two as well so, overall, it was still a decent day.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 4th August 2018
We adopted a selective approach to Glorious Goodwood and focused on a select number of horses this year, rather than firing the scattergun.
We made a profit on four of the five days of the meeting;
Sir Dancelot got up in a tight finish at advised odds of 5/1 to win the Lennox Stakes on the opening day.
Lil Rockerfeller bolted up from the front under Silvestre De Sousa at 10/3 in the stayers handicap to win on day two.
On day three Communique won at 5/1 (advised) for Mark Johnston, having been backed into 7/2 at SP.
Our two bets both lost on day four but we regained the winning thread on Saturday when Gifted Master, advised at 14/1 (SP 20/1), won the Stewards' Cup for us under crack apprentice Jason Watson and put us in profit for the day and topped up our profit for the week.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 13th July 2018
The July meeting at Newmarket is one of my favourite meetings of the year and 2018 was certainly another memorable one.
Members were advised to back Foxtrot Lady strongly in a single at 10/1 on the back of her eyecatching run at York and also in doubles with Kalagia (11/8) and Bailarico (15/8), both of whom won at smaller meetings earlier in the week. The two winning doubles and strong single on Foxtrot Lady returned members almost 50 pts of profit!
The winners didn't stop there, though, with Mark Johnston's Communique following up at advised odds of 12/1 the following day for another decent winner.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 31st March 2018
We had three bets at Meydan on World Cup night. Members were advised......
VAZIRABAD was given the softest of rides in his prep race here 30 days ago and Christophe Soumillon clearly didn't want to give him a hard time with this 'cup final' tonight in mind. He made smooth progress through the field on the inside and got within half a length of Rare Rhythm, who was being pushed along by William Buick. Soumillon could have either got the bat out and tried to butcher him home, or retreat. He opted to take the latter approach and eased down in second. The step up to 2m gives him a viable chance of turning the tables now he'll be ridden to win. He's bidding to win this for the third year in a row.
With Hit The Bid and Conquest Tsunami both drawn in double figure stalls, the stands side of the draw could be the place to be here. Aussie raider Music Magnate would be interesting if the market vibes are positive. He bids to follow in the footsteps of Ortensia and Buffering in winning the race for Australia.
Blue Point also has a good chance - his is obvious as he's even money now Ertijaal has come out of the race. He ran very well behind that rival in a trial run over 5f and now returns to the trip he beat Harry Angel over in the UK last year (as well as finishing third to Caravaggio in the Commonwealth Cup).
I've come round to the idea of backing JUNGLE CAT at the prices, though. He won the Nad Al Sheba trophy in his prep, just as he did before finishing fourth in this race 12 months ago, but the ground turned yielding after rain on World Cup night last year and he couldn't pick up as well as hoped, finishing just behind Ertijaal in fourth.
It is interesting to contrast that performance with his last one against Ertijaal over the same C&D three weeks ago. This time, with the ground riding good, he swept past that rival to score by two lengths and actually break the track record. Ertijaal is a non-stayer over 6f but it was still a smart performance and provides logical reasoning to think he's an improved performer at the age of six and could finish in the money this time with the ground more suitable this year.
BENBATL was drawn wide and missed the break last time. He had to race wide, with little cover, and ending up covering 13 metres more than the half-length winner as he crossed the line in second. Oisin Murphy, refreshingly, conceded afterwards he'd given his mount a bad ride, but with a better draw this evening and the likelihood of not having to cover so much ground, he's every chance of getting back to winning ways. He'd won two C&D races in impressive fashion at Group 3 and Group 2 level prior to that, sitting up with the pace and keeping on strongly once hitting the front."
Vazirabad was backed from 5/2 into 6/4 and won
Jungle Cat was advised at 5/1 (-40p R4) and went off 11/4 and won
Benbatl was advised at 9/2 and went off 4/1 and won
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 19th March 2018
It was a superb week for us at the 2018 Cheltenham Festival and we backed 10 of the 28 winners;
Summerville Boy (9/1)
Coo Star Sivola (10/1)
Benie Des Dieux (9/2)
Mister Whitaker (8/1)
Presenting Percy (16/1)
Balko Des Flos (8/1)
Missed Approach (20/1)
We also had plenty of horses either rattling the crossbar or going close and hitting the frame too, such as Kalashnikov (16/1), Black Op (8/1), William Henry (10/1), Barney Dwan (8/1), Min (7/2), Monalee (7/2), Tornado Flyer (10/1), Mr Adjudicator (8/1), Santini (16/1) and Road To Respect (12/1).
We outlaid a total of 27.60 pts and made a profit of +14.53 pts over the week (to lowest advised odds - i.e. a bigger profit was achievable in reality by taking the highest odds in the advised range) - a ROI of +53 %.
The highlights were Presenting Percy landing us a big ante post gamble in the RSA (we'd been on him since October and he went off 5/2 on the day) and also backing six of the seven winners on the Tuesday - a great day for those members who like a multi!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 12th February 2018
Thanks very much to those of you who voted for Northern Monkey Punter in the 2018 Secret Betting Club Tipster & Betting Awards - I'm delighted to say the service won the Gold Award in the Best Racing Tipster and Best Overall Tipster categories for the FOURTH year in a row!
NMP hadn't been nominated for the 2018 Best Racing Tipster award initially this year (which was understandable given the small profit I noted for the year on record - settling bets to lowest advised prices and most of the doubles were settled at SP) but, as I always say, there is great potential to beat my official service profits in reality and it seems this was the case for many members (some of whom reported doubling their betting banks in 2017) and voted for NMP via the 'other service' option!
For those who are not members of the Secret Betting Club and want to know more about their work, the SBC are an independent, long-standing and respected tipster review website that track services and betting systems covering a wide range of sports.
Their back catalogue of reviews dates back to 2006 and is accessible to members along with various other useful content including advice on how to run a portfolio of services and beat bookie restrictions (including how to use VPN's).
If anyone is looking to expand their portfolio of tipsters or branch out into new sports, their work is worth checking out.
Thanks again to those who voted for NMP and here's hoping for a smoother ride in 2018 and another award-winning year!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 10th December 2017
I look forward to the Becher Chase, which is run over the Grand National fences at Aintree, each year.
We were on the winner (Vieux Lion Rouge) in 2016 and we had the winner on side yesterday too - Blaklion.
Members were advised to back him at 5/1 to 4/1 earlier in the week and he ended up being backed into 7/4 on the day, winning by nine lengths and producing a performance which shot him to the fore of the betting for the Grand National.
We were also on the horse who had finished third behind Blaklion (second) in the Charlie Hall on his reappearance, Definitly Red, who won a Grade 2 chase on the Mildmay course by an easy seven lengths, despite drifting to 9/4.
We did have two losing selections at Sandown on the day (William H Bonney and Doing Fine) but completed a hat-trick with the Aintree picks when Gas Line Boy (advised at top price of 8/1) hacked up in the Grand Sefton.
He was almost brought down by a faller at one point but thankfully kept on his feet before powering his way to a comfortable victory over the National fences.
We boosted our return on Gas Line Boy by backing him in a double at 6/1 with Katiymann, who had won on the all-weather at Dundalk at 9/4.
Gas Line Boy alone winning on the day was worth around 12-10 pts (top to bottom prices) alone, even before the wins from Definitly Red and Blaklion (who had been a strong 2 pt fancy and the biggest bet of the day) were factored in!
It continued a good start to the new jumps season, following on from recent NH successes from Sam Spinner, Old Guard, High Bridge, Mala Beach, Verdana Blue and Limited Reserve.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 12th November 2017
NMP members ended the 2017 season on a high on Saturday with two winners trained by Ian Williams, who completed a quick across-the-cards double at Wincanton and Doncaster.
London Prize won the Elite Hurdle by three lengths at an SP of 4/1 (had been advised at 9/2 to 4/1) and then, 15 minutes later up at Doncaster, Saunter plundered the feature race of the day - the November Handicap - winning by one-and-a-quarter lengths on what was only his second start for the stable.
Members had been advised to back Saunter at 14/1 to 12/1 midweek as soon as the booking of Jim Crowley had been announced and were then advised to back him in a double with stablemate London Prize closer to the race, too (Saunter was a best price of 10/1 at that point). He returned 6/1 at SP after being the subject of a late gamble.
It was a very good afternoon as the pair were the two main bets of the weekend on the service. Winning singles and a winning double were thus returned.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 16th October 2017
Well, well, well, what a wonderful weekend that was!
It would be fair to say NMP members have been really unlucky with regards to the fate of our multiple selections this year - with Orion's Bow, Home Of The Brave and Jumira Bridge just some of those who have been narrowly touched off to deny us some big paydays.
There is only so long bad luck can count against you though and we made up for it in style with Withhold landing a huge ante post gamble in the Cesarewitch last weekend (pictured far left in the blue silks, (c) Ed Whitaker, Racing Post).
Roger Charlton's charge was backed off the boards after first show, with his price collapsing to 5/1 from 9/1, but NMP members were advised to have a decent ante post wager on him at 25/1 after his eyecatching prep run at Newbury weeks before the big race.
Members had also been advised to back him in a 55/1 double with his stablemate, Blakeney Point, who won at 10/3 (SP) at Leicester in the week leading up to the Cesarewitch as the stable had their horses in superb form at the time.
Members were told Withhold may improve for the step up in trip at Newmarket, as he would likely creep in off a lovely, low racing weight and may have his normal headgear, which had been omitted for his prep run, reapplied at HQ.
The booking of Silvestre De Sousa at the final declaration stage was the icing on the cake and the horse absolutely bolted up after tacking over from a wide draw and being given a prominent ride, breaking the track record and winning eased down.
As Roger Charlton told ITV Racing after the race, "it was a demolition job, really"!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 30th September 2017
Andrew Balding did us a good turn last week when his Brorocco kept on stylishly down the outside of the field under David Probert, landing a big Saturday handicap at Newbury. He went on record at 9/1, though some members obtained marginally larger prices in the morning.
Balding came up trumps the following weekend when Donjuan Triumphant got up in a photo finish to win the rearranged Gold Cup for us at Haydock.
The prestigious 6f sprint was originally scheduled to take place at Ayr the previous week and we had backed him as a strong ante post selection at prices up to 16/1. Those bets were voided when the entire Western meeting was abandoned due to a waterlogged track, though we kept the faith, reinvested some of the returned stake and the former Richard Fahey representative dug in well under PJ McDonald to get up in the final strides for a 10/1 winner!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 29th August 2017
Nakeeta had been labelled a bridesmaid by some as, although he won the Old Borough Cup at Haydock in 2015, he came up short several times in big handicaps last year - at Chester, Ascot, York and Leopardstown.
Often, however, it seemed to me like it was a matter of timing, rather than a bad attitude, which proved his downfall.
Members were, therefore, advised to make him their main bet for the Ebor at York last weekend - with him being backable as big as 16/1 first thing on Saturday morning......
"The Ebor is a tightly knit handicap these days as you needed a mark of 102 to get a run this year and there is only 8lb separating top and bottom weight. With that in mind, having a useful claiming apprentice on board could potentially be a big advantage.
Iain Jardine booked 7lb claimer Clifford Lee for Shrewd last year, who finished second to Heartbreak City, and I think it is interesting that he's booked another apprentice - Callum Rodriguez - this year for NAKEETA.
Rodriguez, who boasts a level stakes profit to SP (+£19), BSP (+£35) and has won 19 % more often than statistical expectations in 180 Flat races this season, has impressed me this season when riding Intense Romance as he was cool-as-a-cucumber that day he won at Newcastle. He also gave Foxy Boy a very good patient ride that day he won at cramped odds at Haydock.
I think he's worth his 5lb claim and his ability isn't yet fully being completely factored into his odds. The weight he takes off looks a massive plus for Nakeeta, who was a perennial hard luck story last season.
He was beaten by a short head in the Chester Cup and had a number of near misses, such as at this track and also Ascot.
Perhaps his most heartbreaking defeat, however, was that day at Leopardstown, in the November handicap when he kicked into the lead but was worn down by Golden Spear in the final strides (Magic Circle, who is 9/1 here after winning here on Wednesday, was back in third as it happens while the fifth, Snow Falcon, has also won in Ireland this week to serve us a reminder of the worth of that particular formline).
Jardine said he was being aimed at this race last year but he was rated around 97 at that time and unfortunately missed the cut. This time he has crept in at the bottom of the handicap though and, with his jockey's claim, he's effectively running off a mark of 98 here, which is 1lb lower than the mark off which he was narrowly beaten in the Irish November handicap.
I liked his performance here in Listed company off unfavourable terms behind Dal Harraild two runs back, demonstrating (again) his effectiveness at the track, while there was no shame in his last run at Newmarket, when he was keen early on but travelled right into contention before paying for those exertions late on.
The return to this flat track looks ideal for him in view of the fact his best performances have come at level tracks like York, Haydock, Chester and Leopardstown - they just seem to suit his style of running better than Newmarket.
On his second start since being gelded I also want a small bet on BATTERSEA. He held his own in some tough Meydan handicaps last year and, notably, was fourth in this race off a mark of 107 last season.
He's 2lb lower now, and with David Egan, another smart 5lb claimer, easing his mark further, he's effectively 7lb lower this year. We've a dry forecast at York today and drying ground is exactly what Roger Varian's six-year-old wants."
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 25th August 2017
2017 has been a frustrating summer for the service with so many selections finishing second and narrowly getting beaten, but it was nice to see Marsha land the Nunthorpe for us at York on Friday.
Members were advised to back her at 10/1 to 8/1 and were told:
"The clash between Battaash and Lady Aurelia has been one of the talking points in the lead up to the Ebor meeting.
Both have been supremely impressive of late, but, when all is said and done, do you really want to take a price around 7/4 for either of them when there is little option to take out economical insurance to guard against a near miss at the hands of the other? I don't, as there are also other proven Group 1 performers in the race to consider as well.
The key horse to this whole race - despite what the pundits and the betting says - is 33/1 shot Take Cover. He has lots of early speed and if he were to match strides with Lady Aurelia then he could potentially bustle her up and set this up for a closer.
The pair clashed, on paper at least, in the King's Stand, and Take Cover actually showed the superior trap craft to slip into the early lead, but the key thing to note about that race was that there were effectively two races for the price of one; Take Cover headed those racing towards the far side of the track, while Lady Aurelia pretty much did her own thing and controlled matters towards the stands rail - without eyeballing Take Cover and being hindered by him - which may have been the case if they'd raced in one central group.
I would be interested to see them eyeball to eyeball today as the field size is smaller and there is a greater chance they'll all race in one cluster - lets see if Lady Aurelia can confirm what she showed at Ascot and become a true great.
There is a danger, though, her finishing effort might just be muted if she is taken out of her comfort zone (if Take Cover isn't outclassed and can get near her).
A potential pace duel would obviously suit the tactically versatile Battaash, who announced himself on the big stage when winning at Goodwood. He tanked his way through that race, taking a lead off Take Cover, and beat a solid yardstick, Profitable, who looks a big each-way price himself today at 16/1, but having watched the replay back countless times I have concluded that although Profitable was perhaps beaten fair and square, MARSHA can have her effort upgraded somewhat for finishing third.
She isn't always going to be fun to watch when Luke Morris is trusted with the reins - he's one of the most unsightly riders in the weighing room - but she was undeniably hampered last time in an incident that started when Profitable tried to make some ground upsides Take Cover but was shuffled back. Marsha was caught up in the melee and had to be switched for a run.
She made some nice late progress though and deserves another chance, especially since this drying ground will also be in her favour.
Those with the service earlier in the year will remember we had a very good bet on her - a MAX bet infact - for the King's Stand, and I am still of the opinion she's good enough to win a Group 1 in Britain.
Let's not forget her impressive win in the l'Abbaye at Chantilly last season or her notable Palace House victory this year - when she gave weight away and still got the job done first time out.
A secondary bet on Profitable, who is disgustingly big at 16/1, is also recommended. He is tied in with the two market leaders as well as Marsha, so we cannot overlook him, even if he did seem to be beaten fair and square by Battaash last time. He's a class horse and won't mind any bits of juice lingering in the ground."
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 7th June 2017
It has been a slow start to the new turf season for us and we recorded a loss of -14 pts in April - we had a string of near misses but it is winners, not placed selections, that can turn a losing month into a winning one.
May was steady away month and we recorded a profit of +5.35 pts on record. In reality, however, members achieved closer to 10 pts profit - the difference being a result of me settling my multiple bets at SP on record. We had a winning double involving a selection who was strongly backed just before the off.
The profit and loss figures show the 2017 service is -35 pts in the red since November (a -7 % ROI) but we know long-term, based on thousands of proofed bets, that NMP has a ROI edge of +10 % over the bookmakers......it could only be a matter of time until results start to correct themselves and, consequently, now may well be the best time to join my service.
Summer is traditionally the service's most profitable period and once the recent wet weather clears up I expect we'll be able to build on the May profit and kick on for the year.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 18th March 2017
Bookmakers generally seemed to have the upper hand over the punters at this year's Festival and, Thursday aside, it was a bookies benefit meeting.
The NMP selections broke even over the course of the week, though, with the winners including Apple's Jade (9/2) in the Mares' Hurdle, Supasundae (20/1) in the Coral Cup and Presenting Percy (8/1) in the Pertemps Final.
We had Let's Dance in the Mares' Novice Hurdle at 5/2 in a double with another jumps pick before the Festival, while we also had Defi Du Seuil (Triumph Hurdle) at 11/4 in a nice double with a sprint winner at Lingfield.
However, the most pleasing result of the week for us - by some way - was the Cheltenham Gold Cup as we were on the impressive winner Sizing John at ante post prices up to 33/1 and also went in on the day again because I was so keen on him. Members were told on the morning of the race,
"We are on three in the Gold Cup but SIZING JOHN, by far, is the one that interests me most this morning as he oozes class and the ground has come up perfect for him.
Robbie Power gave him a brilliant ride in the Irish Gold Cup and having a man that is unfazed on the big stage is also a big plus.
The big question is whether he will stay the trip, but he is unexposed over it and the manner he kept on over 3m in Ireland last time suggested Jessica Harrington, who has already been among the winners this week, simply had to go for this race with him.
Djakadam is a danger having enjoyed a smoother prep than 12 months ago when second (would have been third if Cue Card hadn't fallen) but he's 3/1 and Sizing John is almost treble his price.
Native River has enjoyed a superb season and, for all the 8/1 we have about him is a great bet, he has slight doubts over the ground even if he is fully proven over the trip.
I cannot have Cue Card at all. Cheltenham is no place for old bones and his chance was last year when he fell. Sentiment has undoubtedly influenced his price (and may drive it in further today).
Outlander is unlikely to be good enough (Gordon Elliott preferred Empire of Dirt but the owner wanted that one in the Ryanair), Champagne West and Bristol De Mai could be lambs to the slaughter as they struggle to match strides with Native River upfront and I would worry More Of That, a bleeder, might not even complete, despite glowing reports from the gallops.
Of the rest, there is only one I think is good enough to potentially win a Gold Cup, Minella Rocco, and we are on him at good prices previously. The jockey bookings getting shuffled after the injury to Mark Walsh (Fehily now rides as Coleman shifts to More of That) boosts his claims and I think he could run a race at a price if those from further back in the field can get into it.
However, I don't think he, too, has the class of Sizing John, who has a gorgeous profile for the race. I am all over him and have put my free bets from William Hill on him as I still think he's a very good price this morning!
He was campaigned over the wrong trip, it seems, for Henry de Bromhead but has really come to life this season as Harrington has stepped him up in distance."
We were also on the Gold Cup second, Minella Rocco, at prices up to 33/1 ante post, while we had the third, Native River, on side ante post at 8/1 too. If anyone played a tricast on those three it paid £521.34 to a £1 stake, while the Trifecta on the Tote paid £584.20!
Personally, I did not have the winning combination covered in my own permutations, but would have collected one if Djakadam had clung on for third!
It was a great result for us all the same, with the horse bouncing off the good ground and producing a magnificent jump under pressure at the last to seal the victory.
Elsewhere at the Festival, we had also backed Cantlow (Cross Country) and On The Fringe (Foxhunters) in some nice multiples, while we were on Yanworth, who went off 2/1 favourite for the Champion Hurdle, at 12/1 ante post. We also had prices up to 20/1 for Unowhatimeanharry, who went off 5/6 favourite in the Stayers' Hurdle!
Although all four of these fancied selections disappointed, we would have only needed one or two of them to have gone in, which was entirely feasible, and it would have been an excellent week with a further 20-30 pts on the board!
We are looking ahead to Aintree and also the AW Finals next, while the turf season is soon approaching too. The turf season, in particular in the summer, is where we are expecting to make the bulk of our profit this year.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 24th February 2017
I just wanted to say a big thank you to those of you who voted for Northern Monkey Punter in the 2017 SBC Tipster & Betting Awards - I'm delighted to say the service won the Gold Award in the Best Racing Tipster and Best Overall Tipster categories for the third year in a row!
Things don't always go smoothly when running the service and the inevitable losing runs never get any more bearable - even after seven years - but we're in it for the long haul and getting recognition in the shape of these awards for the good times makes the sacrifices and early morning finishes worthwhile!
For those who are not members of the Secret Betting Club and want to know more about their work, the SBC are an independent, long-standing and respected tipster review website that track services and betting systems covering a wide range of sports.
Their back catalogue of reviews dates back to 2006 and is accessible to members along with various other useful content including advice on how to run a portfolio of services and beat bookie restrictions (including how to use VPN's). The SBC are also currently running a "Better Betting" campaign against unfair bookmaker practices.
Thanks again to those who voted for NMP and here's hoping 2017 is as profitable as 2016!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 22nd February 2017
It's that time of the year again where we look to build up our list of Cheltenham ante posts ahead of the Festival.
In 2016 the service enjoyed a tremendous Festival - which was the result of months of planning in the lead up to the main event.
We ended up making +26 pts profit to the lowest quoted odds in e-mails (in practice it would have been easy to win much more than this due to fact many of the prices in my doubles were settled at SP).
Some of the single winners included.....
We also landed winning multiples involving all-weather winners we'd backed in the months leading up the Festival with Cheltenham scorers Douvan (Arkle), Vroum Vroum Mag (Mares Hurdle), Thistlecrack (World Hurdle), Limini (Mares Novice Hurdle) and Ivanovich Gorbatov (Triumph).
We were on Valseur Lido (placed 33/1 EW) and Road To Riches (placed 12/1 EW) in the Ryanair and our main ante post fancy in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, Djakadam, also ran a cracker to finish second. All in all, it was a very good week!
This season we have taken long-term views against Faugheen in the Champion Hurdle (the view was he may not be the same horse after his long-term injury) and against Thistlecrack in the Gold Cup (the view was that the race is tough for novices to win) this season and our main bets in these races are now 7/2 2nd fav (from 12/1) and 5/2 fav (from 8/1), respectively. In the Stayers' Hurdle we are on the ante post favourite (who is now 6/5) at prices up to 20/1 (advised in November).
There are still plenty more races to cover before the Festival starts and we will continue to add further Festival bets to our list until the Festival starts.
We will continue to bet throughout the Festival itself too, topping up and covering our positions as the week goes on.
We will be looking to outlay a similar amount to last season with a view to trying to generate a 20pt+ profit on the week that will set us up for the start of the Flat - which is the service's bread and butter.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 28th January 2017
December wasn't a great month for us as we made a loss and so many horses traded at odds on in running but failed to go on and win their race.
These things are cyclical, though, and we've gained compensation in January with a rich run of form. We've backed 16 individual winners and also landed a small double.
The winners were: Petite Jack (9/4), Ertijaal (13/8), Zac Brown (12/1), Lancelot Du Lac (11/4), Garde La Victoire (7/4), Gracious Tom (5/1), Final Venture (14/1), Winter Lion (9/2), Fast Track (13/2), My Target (9/2), Mythical Madness (9/2), Bring On A Spinner (7/2), Championship (7/2), Kasbah (11/2), Isharah (5/1) and Promising Run (4/1).
The double was on Revel & Absolute Blast, who were settled at SP (as are most of my doubles).
We are +21.09 pts up for the month at the time of writing and the 2017 service is back in profit (+3.52 pts) again, despite the December lull.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 25th December 2016
I would like to wish all of my members and website visitors a Happy Christmas and a prosperous New Year!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 23rd December 2016
A full review of the 2016 NMP service can be found at the 2016 review link.
Author: simoncorrigan | Date: 8th December 2016
My 2017 service will commence from the morning of Wednesday 9th November 2016 and will run until 12th November 2017. Please find full details at the following link: NMP 2017 membership details.
Author: simoncorrigan | Date: 9th November 2016
The curtain came down on the Flat season after Doncaster and we ended the year with +77.66 pts profit from a total of 818.73 pts outlaid at advised stakes and prices (the lowest quoted in e-mails). This translated to a ROI of +9 % and a ROC of +97 % since January 1st - we've effectively doubled an 80 pt betting bank over the course of the season so the main target for the season was met!
Author: simoncorrigan | Date: 15th October 2016
We had been knocking hard on the door with our big ante post Flat selections and landed a big coup on Champions Day at Ascot when The Tin Man (8/1) landed a MAX bet for us and several doubles (win and each-way) in the Champions Sprint.
We also had the 80/1 second, Growl, onside each-way, so it really was a superb result for us.
It was somewhat ironic that the two horses which have been touched off when on the verge of landing us large ante post returns this season - Growl and Brando - were the 2nd and 3rd in this race on the day when we finally landed a big chop.
The tricast (see image above) paid £4383.09 to a £1 stake (it paid £12,278.90 on the Tote, for comparison, if anyone had played it) and was a nice bonus if played on top of the singles and doubles advised to all members on the first and second.
September ended with a small profit of +3.75 pts and we're looking to protect what we've got in the next few weeks until the Flat season ends at Doncaster in November.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 12th September 2016
August was a steady away month in which we broke even.
We started slowly but finished well with winners such as Sors (8/1) at the Curragh, El Astronaute (5/1) at Epsom and a double on two Richard Whitaker sprinters at Ripon - Pipers Note and Love Island. The double paid +12.31 pts profit at SP but members yielded greater returns than that in reality if they took morning prices - if taking BOG it is impossible not to beat the SP returns even if horses shorten over the course of the day!
September started well when we banged in 33/1 shot Just Glamorous in the Prix du Petit Couvert on Arc Trials Day at Chantilly (pictured left, (c) Edward Whitaker/Racing Post). He hacked up with a fine front running ride, returning odds of 20.70 on the PMU (French Tote) and never looked like getting caught - even by solid sprint yardstick Goldream.
We were narrowly denied another whopping ante post return with Growl finishing second in the Ayr Gold Cup, though we did take consolation from Penglai Pavilion dotting up in the Cesarewitch Trial at odds of 10/1 for us five minutes later.
Another notable day was Sunday 4th September in which I sent out three sprint selections and all won. Tithonus (13/2), Nameitwhatyoulike (9/2) and Dark Defender (7/1) went in at Dundalk and York, with members staking as little as £4 EW and £2 win bets on these selections in multiples (off their own back and in addition to the profit from the singles I had advised) reporting four figure returns on the day!
Ardad (11/1), Sheikhzayedroad (6/1) and Captain Colby (10/1) all winning big races at Doncaster's St Leger meeting have proven additional positives in September so far.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 31st July 2016
Things really clicked into place for us in July and we enjoyed a superb month.
The highlight was Take Cover winning the King George Stakes for us at Glorious Goodwood (16/1), while other notable winners were Best Trip (9/1), Chiclet (7/1), Final Venture (15/2) and 3 pt MAX bet Kimberella (7/1), who dotted up in the Sky Bet Dash at York (picture left, (c) Racing Post) the same day we also landed a gamble on Librisa Breeze (8/1 into 3/1) in the International Handicap at Ascot.
We also landed two superb doubles on Chiclet/St Michel and then Best Trip/Just Glamorous. Because the doubles are settled at SP with my service, most members easily beat my +36 pt profit figure (to lowest advised prices) for July and were in a position whereby they'd achieved 100 % bank growth since 1st January (if using my recommendation of an 80 pt betting bank).
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 30th July 2016
Members were advised to back Growl ante post at odds of 25/1 for the Stewards' Cup weeks before the big race and we continued to top up on the horse at prices down to 14/1 up to the day and had big stakes rolling onto him from only a small outlay - both Fang (6/1) and Take Cover (11/1) had been advised as selections in the first legs of doubles with Growl, too.
A Growl victory would have been worth between +123.55 pts (worst prices) to +156.60 (best prices) to members, but sadly the horse was beaten into fourth from a bad draw and after meeting lots of trouble in running.
I'm not talking through my pocket, either, as I took some insurance out against our ante post bets and members backed the winner, Dancing Star, (6/1) and second, Orion's Bow (8/1) both each-way as well.
All three picks in the 28 runner Stewards' Cup thus made the frame for us and we still made a nice profit in the race.
We have gone close with two massive doubles this year now (Brando in the Wokingham being the other) and we will continue to chip away until we land one!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 30th June 2016
April wasn't a great month for us and after making +56 points across February and March we handed 19 pts back in April. May started well for us, though, with No Heretic (16/1) winning the Chester Cup and Moonlight Magic (9/1) winning the Derrinstown Derby Trial at Leopardstown last weekend.
We didn't managed to find the Ascot Gold Cup winner this year but we were on Diamond Jubilee winner Twilight Son (4/1) and smacked the crossbar with two gambles in the handicaps - Librisa Breeze (12/1) was second in the Royal Hunt Cup and our 3 pt MAX bet Brando, who we were on at prices up to 16/1 ante post, as well as in some on-the-day doubles, was a head second in the Wokingham.
We collected a place return, but had Brando won, we would have copped a total profit of between 48 to 57 pts (lowest vs highest odds available at the time of bet issue. The lowest figure goes on my records). We were so close!!
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 18th March 2016
We enjoyed a superb Festival and made +26 pts profit to the lowest quoted odds in e-mails.
Winners included Unowhatimeanharry (25/1) in the Albert Bartlett, Sizing John (w/o Douvan) (16/1) in the Arkle, Mall Dini (20/1) in the Pertemps Final, Ivanovich Gorbatov (8/1) in the Triumph, Yorkhill (3/1) in the Neptune and On The Fringe (11/4) in the Foxhunters.
We also copped decent returns off multiples involving all-weather winners / ante post wagers on Douvan in the Arkle, Vroum Vroum Mag in the Mares Hurdle, Thistlecrack in the World Hurdle, Limini in the Mares Novice Hurdle and Ivanovich Gorbatov in the Triumph.
We were on Valseur Lido (placed 33/1 EW) and Road To Riches (placed 12/1 EW) in the Ryanair and our main ante post fancy in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, Djakadam, also ran a cracker to finish second.
Author: Wayne Finter | Date: 29th February 2016
I would like to say a big thank you to all of those that voted for my service in the 2016 Secret Betting Club Tipster & Betting Awards.
For the second year running, Northern Monkey Punter was voted into the gold medal position in the 'BEST RACING TIPSTER' and 'BEST OVERALL TIPSTER' categories and also picked up the silver award in the 'BETTING HERO' category.
Your support and votes are much appreciated.